Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.156631 0.178419 0.202586 0.231455 0.265104 0.303201 0.349770
2026-01-25 0.121625 0.150373 0.185385 0.231500 0.291138 0.366336 0.469397
2026-02-01 0.100709 0.132099 0.173027 0.231005 0.312158 0.423427 0.590514
2026-02-08 0.085941 0.118060 0.162250 0.228603 0.327662 0.473242 0.709430
2026-02-15 0.074917 0.106937 0.153010 0.225686 0.340347 0.519355 0.830378
2026-02-22 0.068370 0.101035 0.149995 0.230812 0.365058 0.586960 0.998752
2026-03-01 0.061153 0.093047 0.142531 0.227448 0.374928 0.631205 1.135446
2026-03-08 0.055895 0.087378 0.137821 0.227596 0.390243 0.686758 1.304342
2026-03-15 0.051400 0.082360 0.133448 0.227491 0.404723 0.742785 1.486298
2026-03-22 0.048422 0.079482 0.132238 0.232647 0.429474 0.822440 1.736151
2026-03-29 0.045532 0.076413 0.130284 0.236045 0.451164 0.899628 1.999601
2026-04-05 0.042902 0.073506 0.128250 0.238924 0.472103 0.978881 2.288341
2026-04-12 0.040859 0.071505 0.127750 0.244962 0.501142 1.082840 2.671685
2026-04-19 0.038346 0.068395 0.124836 0.245737 0.518995 1.165074 3.023795
2026-04-26 0.035961 0.065289 0.121585 0.245344 0.534122 1.243878 3.391296
2026-05-03 0.033591 0.061987 0.117592 0.242798 0.543756 1.310873 3.745658
2026-05-10 0.031402 0.058837 0.113580 0.239678 0.551474 1.374502 4.111102
2026-05-17 0.030221 0.057595 0.113372 0.245170 0.581643 1.505932 4.748606
2026-05-24 0.028338 0.054752 0.109496 0.241567 0.587698 1.570389 5.176274
2026-05-31 0.026931 0.052779 0.107302 0.241726 0.603865 1.668528 5.767532
2026-06-07 0.025616 0.050889 0.105110 0.241612 0.619310 1.768253 6.406955
2026-06-14 0.024817 0.050037 0.105153 0.247136 0.651771 1.930355 7.376582
2026-06-21 0.023934 0.048927 0.104499 0.250776 0.679453 2.083999 8.384274